How to Pass the CFA Exams – A Basic Strategy

We have covered strategies and suggestions for level-specific studying in prior posts. Each level has its ‘core’ topics and should be approached in a way to maximize points. With around 50% of candidates failing any given level each year, you can’t afford to let easy points go by not studying as efficiently and effectively as possible.

Fortunately, there are also strategies and suggestions that will carry you through all three CFA exams. Some of these ideas are general ideas for effective studying while others are specific to the CFA curriculum and testing.

Start Early

The CFA Institute candidate survey shows that candidates spend, on average, around 300 hours of studying for each level. The average is fairly close for candidates that pass their exam and those failing. If even unsuccessful candidates are spending 300 hours studying, then you may want to plan on an extra 50-100 hours to be more confident going into the test. This may seem like an overly aggressive plan but it becomes much more manageable if spread over 4-5 months.

Do not plan on being able to stick to your study schedule perfectly. Most candidates with families and a full-time career will have a hard time finding more than 15 hours a week to consistently devote to studying. Things always seem to come up like an extra workload at work or family responsibilities.  There are approximately 22 weeks from the beginning of the year to the exam date. Starting in early January, if not before, should give you enough time to spread your study schedule out in a manageable way. *While this still only leaves about 330 hours at 15 hours per week, many candidates are also able to take a few days off to wrap up their study and augment total time.

Active Learning vs. Passive Learning

One of the hardest things to get through to candidates is the need for active learning techniques. A previous post detailed the effectiveness of active learning over passive. Studies show that active learning techniques are up to 2-3 times more effective for learning. Active learning is any technique where you need to engage in the curriculum, i.e. practice problems and talking about the topic.

Candidates should take advantage of provider test banks and the questions included in the Institute curriculum. The blue box and end-of-chapter questions in the curriculum are the closest in format and difficulty to those on the exams. Test banks provide are a great resource for testing your understanding of all or part of the curriculum and designing mock exams.

Beating Fear

It doesn’t matter how well prepared or how confident you are, there will come a time when you question your ability to pass or to continue with the tests. Understand that this is natural and something you need to work through. An aggressive and organized study schedule will help immensely in beating back the fear of failure. You have chosen a difficult path and put yourself ahead of others in your profession, keep that drive and press on through the exams.

Below is a list of suggestions from a previous post for beating fear and those voices in your head that keep you from accomplishing your goals.

  • Surround yourself with a strong support system- Let your friends and family know how difficult the exams are and how important they are to you. When times get tough, their encouragement will help guide you.
  • Stay active in study groups and forums- Surrounding yourself with others working toward the same goal helps immensely. There’s strength in numbers!
  • Start early- Poor preparation and not having a plan is the quickest way to self doubt. Write down a rigorous study program and stick to it, leaving yourself time for those what-if scenarios.
  • Repetition- Knowing that you’ve been through the material a couple of times and can summarize the important points will boost your confidence. While this might be tough to do with the entire curriculum, there are options for condensed versions. FinQuiz offers both a curriculum-based study guide and topic summaries to help you move through the material multiple times and grasp the important stuff.

Keeping it Interesting

The curriculum is a compilation of academic and practical research in the field of investment analysis and asset management. Even condensed study guides can exceed 2000+ pages of material for each level. Some of the material can be extremely dry and monotonous.  To be successful on the exams, you need to cover the curriculum multiple times. A prime hurdle will be avoiding burnout and boredom with your study and the readings.

To avoid burnout and boredom, you need to keep the material and your studying fresh by utilizing different resources and media. Using videos, flash cards, and talking with other candidates is a great supplement to the core resource of Institute curriculum and provider study guides.

Below is a list of different media and resources to keep your exam preparation fresh.

  • Videos- Great for visual and kinesthetic learners, and a relatively quick way to get through the curriculum in a different medium but is inefficient passive learning
  • Study Groups- Good use of active learning and can provide a good support system, but can be slow and misinformation is possibility
  • Reading curriculum- Straight from the horse’s mouth, EVERYTHING on the exams will be here but the books may be better for building muscles than building exam scores
  • Reading 3rd party condensed study notes- My core mode of study. I went through condensed notes at least three times at each level but these are also passive learning so you need to supplement with active learning
  • Practice problems & mock exams- Second most useful method of studying for me. You need to read through curriculum/study notes to get a feel for the material but only practice problems and question banks will work it into your head and convert to long-term memory
  • Flash cards- These are really an extension of practice problems but are more portable and more easily focused

Practice Problems and Mock Exams

This relates to the idea of active learning mentioned earlier. You will have no idea of your level of preparation until you start practice problems and testing your level of retention. At minimum, you should do a set (20 questions) of problems immediately after reading a study session. Then, complete another set of questions the next day. This will help learn the material studied and then cement it into your memory by reminding yourself. Always read the guideline answer for those questions you missed.

Mock exams, created from provider test banks, are an indispensible way to prepare for the exams. These can be half (3 hour) or full (6 hour) exams constructed from test bank questions in the topic weightings given by the Institute. You should plan on doing at least six full exams to get a good idea of where you need to guide your study time and your overall preparation for the exam. We know that no candidate with a score of 70% has ever failed the exam, so you should be aiming for something above this. I would aim for +80% in the core topics for the exams (Ethics, FRA, Equity, Fixed Income) while looking for at least 70-75% in the other topics. Beginning these mock exams around 7-8 weeks before the exam will allow you to shift your study focus and target weaknesses.

Core Topics

Ethical and Professional Standards is arguably the most important section of the three exams. Many candidates underestimate the topic because they think the questions will be intuitive and simple. Unfortunately, it is not as simple as merely don’t lie, cheat, or steal. First, concentrate on learning the basic idea behind each standard then do the problems in the curriculum multiple times. You need to get comfortable with the Institute’s reasoning and these questions are the best way to do it. The material here does not change much year-to-year or through levels, so spending more time on the first exam will make the second and third exams easier.

Financial Reporting and Analysis is another core topic worth around 20% of each of the first two exams. Much of the curriculum is built around a solid understanding of the three financial statements and analysis of how the 10-Q and 10-K presents a company’s performance. Understand how each line-item on the statements can be manipulated by management and how the statements are related. Again, spending extra time while studying for the first exam will build a strong understanding that can make the other two exams easier.

Equity Investments is also a core topic, more so at Level II but also worth around ten percent of the other two exams. The material is more quantitatively focused than other topics but the math involved is fairly basic. The area lends itself well to practice problems to better focus on the formulas required. Understanding the various inputs to the formulas, what they show and how they are related to analyze performance and valuation will get you many of the exam questions covering conceptual ideas.

Fixed Income is of slightly less importance than the material on equity investments, but still can be considered a core topic worth around 10% of each exam. The material is a mix of conceptual and quantitative, so you will need to divide your time for both. Understand the basics of debt instruments and how they are used in corporate finance and as an investment. Many candidates neglect the topic because they are less familiar with fixed income relative to equity investments.

Conceptual Topics

Corporate Finance and Economics are largely conceptual topic areas. These are sort of in-between in importance because while they do not offer as many points it is fairly easy material to pick up. Understand the basic reasoning behind financial decisions at the corporate and macroeconomic levels and you shouldn’t have a problem.

Portfolio Management is not as important at the first level but then builds in weight until being the focus of the Level III exam. Understanding the basic ideas of risk and return measurement for the first exam will prepare you for some of the more detailed theory in the second exam. You will need to spend a considerable amount of time writing out Investor Policy Statements (IPS) for the Level III exam.

Alternative Investments, though a little more quantitatively intense at the second level, is tested at a conceptual level for most of the exams. Understand the difference in return expectations, liquidity, risk and other characteristics between these alternative investments and other asset classes.

Formula Frenzy

You will be required to learn and use an immense amount of quantitative information and formulas to pass the exams, especially at the second level. Most formulas will be fairly basic in mathematical difficulty while others will be harder and include several steps.

Practice problems and repetition are the most obvious way to handle the equations on the exams. There really is no substitute for hard work, so do not neglect this resource. You should first try to understand the inputs and relationships within the formula and what it is trying to show. This will help to memorize the formula and will get you any points questioning the concept behind the idea.

Flash cards are a good resource for handling the more difficult formulas because they are portable and can be used quickly. While many providers sell flash card sets, building your own will give you additional practice writing out the material. Always write out flash cards as word problems instead of simply a list of inputs. This will more closely match the questions on the exam and help you understand where to find necessary data for an equation.

No Shortcuts

All the tips, tricks and strategies in the world won’t save a lazy candidate. Passing the CFA exams takes a great amount of commitment and drive but it comes with a greater amount of satisfaction and reward. This blog can help put you on the right path and guide you through the exams, but you will still need to do the work. Stay strong, find your motivation and earn your charter!

Good Luck and happy studying!
Joseph Hogue, CFA

How to Pass the Level III CFA Exam

Arriving at the level III exam for the CFA charter is an accomplishment in itself. With a fail rate of around 50% at each level, you have made it where approximately 75% of candidates could not. While the final exam is not one to underestimate, there are some strategic decisions that will make it easier.

There are strategies that will get you through all three exams and those that you will need to change for each test. We will cover those strategies and advice specific to the Level III CFA exam here and hold the broader suggestions for a future post. We will also look at two different schedules in the strategy post that could aid in planning.

Format and Basic Strategy:

The Level III CFA exam can be the most intimidating for some because of the essay questions. Unlike the other two levels, you will be asked to take the concepts in the curriculum and develop your own recommendations and solutions. This can be tough for a lot of people and will almost certainly test your ability to manage time during the test. The good news is that the essay section does not have to be overly difficult, you just need to follow some basic preparation strategy. I was actually pretty surprised at how easy it seemed compared to what the monster I had built it up to be before exam day.

The level III exam is more conceptual and practically-based than the other two exams, making it easier for those that can put everything together. The morning session of the CFA III exam has a maximum score of 180 points and will include 10-15 essay questions with as many as 7-8 separate questions within each. Some questions will require that you write on lines directly under the questions, other questions will be answered in a template box on another page. Do not answer the ‘template’ box questions directly under the question on the exam. It will not be graded! It can be confusing answering some questions directly below while others are answered on separate pages so you want to go through and draw a line under the ‘template’ box questions so you are not tempted to put your answers under the question.

Time is many CFA level 3 candidate’s worst nightmare, but it doesn’t have to be. Just because you have five lines or a three-inch by three-inch box in which to answer does not mean that you must use this entire space. Nor does it mean that you cannot use bullets! Graders are not looking for spelling or grammatical ability, only that you understand the curriculum and can put together a solution.

Topic Weight Differences on the Exam

Comparing the topic weights for the level II and the level III exam provided by the CFA Institute, there are a couple of things you should note.

  • First, it is much harder to concentrate on ‘core’ topics because the Institute rolls up many of the topics into Portfolio Management. This means that, while the percentage weights for Investment Tools shows a zero weighting, these sections are still tested within the 45-55% of the exam under portfolio management.
  • The topic weight ranges in Asset Classes is fairly wide and difficult to draw conclusions as well. Fixed Income is given a slightly higher weighting, but only on average. You are guaranteed of seeing at least one essay or item set from each topic, but could get more. This, combined with the fact that no clues are given as to which subjects within each topic are more important, means that you must cover these topics fairly broadly as well.

Fortunately, the level III exam revolves around the essay questions and the Institute makes available the last three years’ essay exams for practice. While the Institute changes the questions each year, practicing these essay exams is a great start to building your confidence and understanding of the material.

As with the level II strategy for item set questions, you may want to answer those essay questions which you feel strong in the material. This will get you the points you know, will help you bank some time and help your confidence. What I mean by ‘banking’ some time is that you will be able to do those questions you know in less time than the allotment leaving you more time for the more difficult questions.

Do not spend too much time on relatively low-point questions within the essay section. Time is a problem for many candidates, so If a question is only worth a few points it doesn’t make any sense spending 15 minutes trying to get it right. Spend time on the higher-point items and the easy ones, then return to unanswered questions if you have time.

Another critical point on the essay section is to show your calculations when the question asks for it. The graders are allowed to assign partial credit for correct procedures or partial answers. If you do not show your calculations in the exam booklet, not only will you not get partial credit you may not even get credit for correct answers.

Ethical and Professional Standards is off less importance on the last exam but still two item sets in the afternoon. You should have a good understanding of the Standards, so spend some time understanding the new material and move on to other topic areas.

Corporate Finance and Economics are again fairly conceptual sections other than a few growth and market valuation formulas. The topics are also secondary, so make sure you understand the key points and reasoning then spend your time on other areas.

The asset classes (Alternative Investments, Derivatives, Equity Investments, Fixed Income) are also much less quantitatively intensive at the third exam but still include quite a few formulas. The impetus on the third exam is how these asset classes fit together in a portfolio. A large section is devoted to risk management and how the asset classes each have different fundamentals. Be sure to understand return drivers and risk characteristics for each class.

Portfolio and Wealth Management is the focus of the level III exam. Your first two essay questions in the morning will be individual and institutional wealth questions. While these specifics of these two questions vary from year to year, there are a limited number of topics that are tested. This makes it extremely important to practice the old essay questions to get a feeling for what and how questions are asked.

Key in this section is the Investor Policy Statement (IPS) and its components. Spend as much time as you need to master this section because it will be big points on the exam. Understand the differences in risk and return needs for the institutional investors as well as their differences in IPS constraints. The biggest aid here is again the past essay exams posted by the Institute. Besides the exams, also available are guideline answers. These are important to get a feel for what the graders are looking for within the questions. Study the answers in detail to see what information you need to write in your own answers.

This completes the series of strategies specific to each exam. Next post, we will look at a strategy and advice that can be used across all three tests.
‘til then, happy studyin’
Joseph Hogue, CFA

How to Pass the CFA Level II Exam

The Level II CFA exam is considered by most to be the most difficult of the three exams. Whereas the first exam was largely conceptual and tested your basic understanding of a broad range of information, the second exam takes that same broad range but tests detailed concepts and data interpretation. On top of this, the exam is extremely formula intense. You will be responsible for calculating two and three-part formulas in almost every study session.

There are strategies that will get you through all three exams and those that you will need to change for each test. We will cover those strategies and advice specific to the Level I CFA exam here and hold the broader suggestions for a future post. We will also look at two different schedules in the strategy post that could aid in planning.

Format and Basic Strategy:

The Level II CFA exam consists of 20 item-set questions, each with six separate multiple choice questions that must be answered from information in an approximately one-page vignette. Each item set question will only cover one study session (i.e. ethics, quantitative methods, asset allocation, etc.) which makes it a little easier to concentrate on one topic at a time. As with all levels of the CFA, there are a total of 360 points possible, so each item set is worth five percent of your total points.

While the CFA Institute does not publish what the passing score is for each year, they have said that no score of 70% or above has ever failed the exam. What does this mean? It means you should be completing practice exams and aiming for a score of at least 75%. Your practice exams may not mimic the actual exam exactly, but shooting for a higher average will give you some breathing room when it comes to test day.

There are two schools of thought when tackling the individual item sets on the level II exam. Many candidates read through the six questions quickly to better understand the information for which they are looking. Other candidates start by reading the vignette, looking for information that may be important. After studying through the curriculum in preparation for the exam, you will begin to get a sense of what information is important for questions.

Remember, you are able to make notes in your exam booklet, so be sure to underline or highlight numerical information or other important points to find them more easily while answering the questions.

You may want to complete those item sets first in topics in which you are stronger. This will do two things. First, answering a good portion of the questions quickly and strongly will boost your confidence for the harder item sets. Secondly, answering those questions you are more likely to get right will save time and book the easy points before moving on to the less probable points. Just remember to effectively watch your bubble-sheet answer form to make sure you are filling in the correct numbers.

Topic Weight Differences on the Exam

Comparing the topic weights for the level II and the level I exam provided by the CFA Institute, there are a couple of things you should note.

  • Ethics is still a good portion of the exam, but not as much so as the level I exam. Your time spent here depends on part by how much you remember from the first exam and how well you did. If you got above 70% on the first exam and can score well on practice tests, then you will not have to study quite as much. Do not neglect the area because you will see it again on the level III exam.
  • The level II is much more heavily weighted towards asset classes than investment tools. The second exam is an analyst’s exam because you are going to spend a ton of time learning how to analyze the specific assets and investments within each. It is much more quantitatively intensive than the first exam.
  • Equity investments is the single biggest section and should be treated as such in your study schedule. Closely behind this is the Financial Reporting and Analysis section. Hopefully, you spent the time necessary to build a good base of knowledge in the three financial statements on the first exam. If not, you will need to review to be able to do well on FRA.

Ethical and Professional Standards, while not worth as many points as in the first exam is still very important. It is still a guaranteed 10% of your points, and you will see almost the same material at level III. I was able to reduce my time studying on the ethics portion of the level III to just looking over the new material because of my time spent studying for the other two exams.

Corporate Finance and Economics is again fairly conceptual though you will be responsible for some growth and emerging market formulas as well as dividend policy formulas. Summary sheets are often the best way to approach conceptual study sessions because you can outline the ideas and key points. This should get you the majority of points on the exam and free up study time for other areas.

Financial Reporting and Analysis is, with equity, your two ‘core’ topic areas for the level II exam. These two topics are worth between 35-55% of your total exam score. If you picked up a good base of understanding in the three financial statements at the first level, then the second exam is just detailing separate accounts and valuations. The readings here are extremely long and you will need to work through them. Do not expect to pick up the material with reading alone. The material is practice-based and you need to actively work through the examples in the books.

Quantitative Methods is slightly less important in the second exam and more so when you get to the third exam. The material here builds on some of the methods learned in the first exam. Do not neglect the section because you will get at least one item set, maybe two. You should be able to get the majority of the points by understanding the basic procedure in the formulas and any strengths, weaknesses, or biases.

Alternative Investments is slightly more important at the second and third level exams compared to the first, but still of secondary importance overall. The curriculum follows a finite set of ‘alternative’ assets (i.e. real estate, hedge funds, private equity, etc.) and each level builds in little more detail. While there are more calculations required in the second exam, it is still largely conceptual. Again, with conceptual topic areas, use a summary guide to learn the key points, strengths, weaknesses and biases.

Derivatives is also marginally more important on the second exam but extremely more quantitatively intense. You will confront some fairly lengthy pricing formulas here and will see between one and three item sets on the exam. For the formulas, first try to understand the logic behind the calculation to better memorize the formula. Often, working over practice problems is the only way to really convert the material to long-term memory.

Equity Investments is potentially the largest part of the exam with between four to six item sets. This and Financial Reporting & Analysis is where you really need to spend your time and learn the material. Working through practice exams, you should be aiming for at least 75% or higher going into the exam.

Fixed Income is also more quantitatively intense at the second level of the CFA exams. Many candidates are less familiar with debt instruments and do poorly on the topic. Begin with a basic understanding of the topic before you proceed to the detailed formulas. Do not neglect pricing and amortization of debt or some of the other formulas.

Portfolio Management is only slightly more important on the second exam but will set you up for the third exam where it is extremely important. Pay particular attention to the Investor Policy Statement (IPS) because it is pivotal to the third exam. Fortunately, much of the section is conceptually-based so you can get the majority of the points by understanding key points and ideas.

While you cannot afford to neglect any of the study areas in the level II curriculum, there are some on which you can spend more or less time. Ethics, FRA, Equity and Fixed-Income will account for upwards of two-thirds of the exam. If you concentrate your study time in these sections, aiming for a score of 75% or higher, you will have a very good chance of passing the exam.

You have a finite time before the exam so remember to use your study time efficiently. Take advantage of condensed study guides, summary sheets and flash cards to focus on the key concepts and formulas.

Wrapping up the week, we will look at strategies that should help on all three exams.
‘til then, happy studyin’
Joseph Hogue, CFA

How to Pass the CFA Level I Exam

Passing the CFA exams is an important step in your career as an asset manager or analyst. The three, six-hour exams are based on approximately 2,000+ pages of curriculum each and encompass a wide range of financial and investment knowledge. While learning the material is just as important for your long-term future, your immediate goal is to pass the exams.

There are strategies that will get you through all three exams and those that you will need to change for each test. We will cover those strategies and advice specific to the Level I CFA exam here and hold the broader suggestions for a future post.

The best tip to passing the level I exam is to understand that there are no ‘tricks’ or easy-outs. You need to learn an incredible amount of information and be able to recall it from memory within a six-hour period. The average candidate spends approximately 300 hours studying for each exam, and even then faces a pass rate that is around 50 percent for each test. You need to set your mind to putting in the considerable amount of time and effort to study the material. With that, we at FinQuiz can help you focus on the most important sections of the exams and help you use your time most efficiently.

The first thing you need to do with the Level I is to look at the topic weightings on the CFA Institute website. While the Institute does not release the exact percentages of the topic area proportions on the exam, they give range estimates. Looking at the topic area weights, there are some things that should influence your preparation.

  • Ethics is extremely important to the Institute and they hit it heavily in the exams. It will be between 10-15% of each of the exam levels. Further, the ethics material does not change considerably between levels so hard work spent on the first exam will take you through the other levels as well. The Institute has even publicly stated that those candidates close to the passing score will either pass or fail depending on their score in the ethics portion of the exam. Do not underestimate this section. The Institute is particularly adept at designing questions that are ambiguous or not intuitively easy.
  • The Ethics, Financial Reporting & Analysis, Equity and Fixed Income topic areas are more than half (57%) of the exam points. You will not pass the CFA exams without mastering these topic areas. Further, these topic areas are heavily tested in the other two levels as well so your hard work before the first exam will be rewarded. Consider these areas the ‘core’ of the exam.

With the quantity and depth of material on each exam, you need an organized and efficient study plan to get through them. This involves planning, not only your schedule but also which resources you should use to best use your time. While the tests are based directly off of the official curriculum, relying exclusively on the curriculum is not the best method for most candidates. While much of the curriculum is extremely practical and interesting, there are some areas that can be a little academic and monotonous. This is where condensed study guides like FinQuiz become extremely important. By using the study guides to focus in on the most important information, you can cover the material in far less time than through the curriculum.

Another important idea for the exam is using multiple variations of study resources. To really learn the material, you need to go over it multiple times. Trying to do all your studying through just study guides is a recipe for boredom and frustration. This makes resources like summary sheets, flash cards and question banks extremely important to round out your study methods.

Ethical and Professional Standards is arguably the most important section of the three exams. Many candidates underestimate the topic because they think the questions will be intuitive and simple. Unfortunately, it is not as simple as merely don’t lie, cheat, or steal. First, concentrate on learning the basic idea behind each standard then do the problems in the curriculum multiple times. You need to get comfortable with the Institute’s reasoning and these questions are the best way to do it.

Corporate Finance and Economics are largely conceptual topic areas. These are sort of in-between in importance because while they do not offer as many points it is fairly easy material to pick up. Understand the basic reasoning behind financial decisions at the corporate and macroeconomic levels and you shouldn’t have a problem.

Quantitative methods, while probably not as important as some other areas at the first level, is still extremely important as an aid to the rest of the material. The first level can be tough for those that do not have a strong basis in mathematics but you will need to be able to do these types of calculations in other topic areas. Spending a little extra time on quant methods here will pay off in the exams and probably your career as well. Be sure to learn the mathematics involved in portfolio measurement, such as volatility and return.  

Financial Reporting and Analysis is one of the most important, and possibly most difficult areas for many candidates. Fortunately, you are given the opportunity to start slow on the first exam. Most of the first exam points revolve around a basic understanding of the three financial statements and some fundamental metrics. You must absolutely learn these three statements or you will not be able to pass the level II exam. Understand how the three statements are related to each other and how management can manipulate individual line items to change reporting. You will probably end up spending most of your study time in this topic area.

Alternative Investments and Derivatives are secondary topics on the first exam. They will be a little more important on the second exam, but still not ‘core’ material. Understand the differences between each ‘alternative’ investment type and how they are each different from other asset classes. Pay attention to differences in liquidity, risk, time horizon, and returns. The derivatives section is mostly quantitative and fairly easy types of calculations. If you understand what each derivative product allows the investor to accomplish, usually some form of risk hedging, and the calculation then you should be ready for the exam.

Equity and Fixed Income Investments are also very important on the first exam, not only for points here but also as a lead-in to the second exam. Both topic areas area mix of conceptual and quantitative material so you really need to study and do practice problems. Your study in these two areas on the first exam will build your base of knowledge for the second exam which is extremely focused on analysis.

Portfolio Management is not an important topic at the first level but there is still some information here that you will need for the other two exams. The topic is largely conceptual, so understanding the basic idea of the material will get you the majority of the points on the exam.

Most of the material on the level one CFA exam is conceptual and fairly basic. It might not take you a great deal of time to master the concepts enough to pass the exam, but any extra time spent on the Level I will pay off when studying for the other two exams. These tests are built well in the sense that each one is a progression of difficulty and depth within the 18 study sessions.

We will cover the other two exams in separate posts and then an overall strategy for the exams.
‘til next time, happy studyin’

Joseph Hogue, CFA

What month did you start studying for the CFA exams?

Looking through forum posts and talking to a few candidates about timing and planning for the CFA exams provides some interesting stats and might help you assess how well your own preparation is going. The two core issues here are: when to start studying and exactly how much is enough studying.

When to Start

It might be a little simplistic, but I see candidates starting their study plans in one of three categories: really early, about right, and what are you thinking! The actual dates started appear to follow a fairly normal distribution with the median around mid-February. I usually started with the ‘really early’ crowd between October and November, so I’m a little biased toward earlier rather than later.

While pre-January may be earlier than necessary, we see a lot of people waiting until March to begin studying. Biased I may be but 13 weeks to cram approximately 300 hours of studying seems a stretch. There will always be the intellectual giants out there (or at least those that think they are) that will have no problem learning all the material in three months. Then again, while actual pass-fail statistics are not available, I would put good money on the bet that the 50% of candidates in the fail band come disproportionately from these late starters.

Then there are always the (comical) posts in late April and through May asking for opinions whether it is too late to begin studying and still pass the exam. Most of the candidates I have met and talked to were fairly smart, but sometimes I’ve got to wonder.

Like I said, I am probably a little overcautious and biased to starting early. Most candidates have fairly relaxed schedules and can sacrifice a few extra hours for something that is undoubtedly going to change your career prospects and arguably your life (going out with that hot co-ed you met last week or keeping up with this season’s American Idol are not as important as you think). Nothing I could say would get most of you to start before January, but hopefully you will not wait until March.

How Much is Enough

More important than when you start studying is (duh!) how much studying you do. Reading through forums and taking a few polls, I was surprised that the consensus is for reading through the material only once and then working through practice problems and a mock exam. At most, I found that candidates expect to read through study guides once then review a quarter to half of the material again. Most candidates planned on working through all the end-of-chapter questions and doing ‘some’ practice problems from a provider question bank.

Again, I might be a little conservative, but this seems entirely inadequate. Who are all these candidates with eidetic (photographic) memory that can pick everything up that easily? Practice exams taken through question banks will give you a good indication if you have picked up the material but most do not start taking these until late in the season. What happens when you take your first inclusive practice exam in May and find out you are not nearly as prepared as you thought?

The candidates that expressed a higher level of confidence with their preparation were mostly those that had read through all of the material at least twice and had started monitoring their progress through practice exams at least two months before the test date. This leaves time to focus on a few of the weaker topic areas as well as going through the material with a few other media (video, summary sheets, flash cards).

 

I guess it comes down to being realistic about your abilities and taking a rational look at the statistics. Surveys by the Institute show that candidates (both passing and otherwise) averaged around 300 hours of study time for each exam. We also know that approximately 50% of candidates fail the exam each year. This is one area where being ‘average’ is likely to not be enough.

 I imagine that the absolute number of hours reported belies a fairly large distribution, but we’ll call it 200 hours minimum and maybe 400 maximum needed to pass the exams. Now think about your pre-CFA studying schedule. How many hours per week do you think you can realistically commit to studying? You need to plan conservatively if you are married, have children, or have a job with increasing workload around quarterly reporting. Life happens, don’t expect to be able to study as much as you would like every week.

Next week, we’ll be putting together three blog posts (one for each exam level) to provide a summarized view on how to pass the CFA exams.
‘til next time, happy studyin’
Joseph Hogue, CFA

2011 CFA Level III Exam Review, Essay Question #5

The asset allocation material in the level III curriculum is largely conceptual but you do need to be able to do some basic calculations to find the optimal portfolio and other risk-return concepts. Download the last three years’ essay exams and guideline answers from the CFA Institute’s website to follow along with the notes below.

A lot of the conceptual material revolves around the different approaches to asset allocation, i.e. Mean Variance, Resampled Efficient Frontier, Black-Litterman, Monte Carlo, ALM, and Experience-based. Understanding the advantages and disadvantages (looking at past essay exams, something the Institute loves to test) will help you get an idea of what each is trying to do and in what situations it is most appropriate. Be ready to choose the most appropriate approach and list a few strengths/weaknesses on the exam.

Remember, strategic asset allocation is long-term whereas tactical allocation is short-term. Target weights are set in the policy portfolio and then can be adjusted through tactical allocation. Asset-Liability Matching (ALM) models liabilities to allocate assets to best meet these financial obligations. It is considered less risky than asset-only asset allocation which only targets the highest level of return for a given risk tolerance.

The item set for Asset Allocation on last year’s CFA essay exam was fairly brief. It was worth 20 points, or about 5.5% of your total exam points.

Skimming the questions quickly, we see that we probably already know much of the answer without even reading the vignette. You will need to refer to information in the case within the answers, but the core part of the answers is basic strengths/weaknesses kind of material.

A. Advantages to using Resampled Frontier are stability and diversification (relative to MVO). From here, we just need to pick out why Finnegan might want stability and diversification (i.e. reduced turnover and lower risk).

The advantages to Black-Litterman are ability to incorporate viewpoints and diversification.

The advantages to Monte-Carlo are the ability to model different inputs (like changing tax rates) and path-dependent modeling.

B. Anytime you see ALM, note how important liabilities are in the client or institution’s profile. Institutions that are quasi-trusts (banks and insurance) or clients with low risk tolerance often prefer ALM because it specifically addresses their liabilities in the model. This provides a greater assurance of meeting those liabilities.

C. The human capital piece of asset allocation often depends on two variables: whether the client’s income is bond or equity-like, and their time horizon. The Institute likes two ‘scenarios’ here, a capital market professional (who is going to have a risky, equity-like income correlated with the stock market) and a university professor (who, given tenure, is going to have a low-risk, bond-like income stream). This will determine the appropriate riskiness of financial capital and asset allocation.

Again, some basic and conceptual stuff which should be easy points on the test. Start with understanding the concepts, strengths and weaknesses, and then move on to the formulas.

Only a few weeks left. Let me know if you want any questions covered.
‘til next time, happy studyin’
Joseph Hogue, CFA

Present Value-based Equity Valuation

Today, we’ll look at a few of the basics in reading 39 which cover present value models for valuation. There are three basic models given: dividend discount, free cash flow, and residual income. Besides being able to plug data and calculate valuation, you are expected to understand the differences between the models and decide which model to use given different scenarios.

As with many of the formulas in the CFA curriculum, you should start with the concept behind the calculation and understand what it means. This will help you get the conceptual points on the exams, which I would say are easily more than half of total points, and will help you memorize the formula.

Valuation revolves around estimating future cash flows from an investment and the rate of return that investors expect. With these two points, as well as a time component, you can know how much the investment is worth in today’s dollars. Of course the problem with equities is that you do not know this information with certainty. The models are an attempt at measuring the most accurate and important components of cash flow and assigning a discount rate.

Dividend Discount Models

Dividends are used as a proxy for cash flows because they are less volatile than earnings and average investors do not have control over the timing or receipt of cash flows. The disadvantages with dividend models is that not all companies pay dividends and that the models are highly sensitive to input estimation.

The Gordon Growth Model (GGM) is arguably one of the most used formulas in the curriculum. It is a single-stage model, assuming that dividends will grow at a constant rate into perpetuity. The general formula is:

An important note is that the required return must be higher than the growth rate in dividends to use the formula. This is not usually a problem in single-stage models because the long-term growth rate will probably be fairly low. Be ready to calculate some of the data points on the exam (like finding the discount rate through CAPM or the growth rate through ROE and the payout ratio).

The GGM is not appropriate when the company is experiencing super-normal growth for a period before it slows to perpetual growth. For this scenario, you need one of the multi-stage models.

The H-model looks intimidating at first but is actually fairly easy. It is just the GGM (with the long-term growth rate) plus another GGM equation using half the difference between short-term and long-term growth. It is an attempt to estimate a linearly declining growth rate across the two periods.

 

Free Cash Flow Models

FCF models acknowledge that investors have a right to all cash flows from a company and not just those paid out as dividends. Free cash flows is the cash generated from operations after that needed for continued operations is deducted. If this cash stream were taken from the company (and paid to investors or debt holders) it would not affect the company as a going concern. The advantage is that FCF can be calculated regardless if the company pays a dividend. FCF models are also appropriate for investors that may be able to exercise a control premium on the company. The major disadvantage is in valuing those companies with high capital expenditures, making free cash flow negative at times.

Free cash flow is shown two different ways, Free Cash Flow to Equity and Free Cash Flow to the Firm, each appropriate to two different ownership perspectives. FCFF is the cash flow from operations after capital expenditures that is available to both levels of ownership (debt and equity). FCFE is that left over after paying debt holders, since they have a prior claim.

For brevity, I will defer the calculations to a prior post which showed how to arrive at FCFE from FCFF, FCFF from CFO and from EBITDA. Once again, the ultimate importance is not so much being able to mindlessly plug numbers into the equations but to understand what these formulas mean. Being able to derive different components by changing around the equations is something you must be able to do (i.e. estimate P/E from the different valuation models).

Residual Income Models

Residual income is the net income left after discounting for a minimum required return for equity. Its advantage is that it can be used when a company does not pay dividends and when free cash flow is negative. The main disadvantage is the adjustments needed to the income statement. We know that management has an incentive to manipulate earnings (net income), so the adjustments can be fairly complicated.

The basic formula for residual income is net income minus beginning book value times required return on equity.

 RI = NI – rce BV

The curriculum does not go over the adjustment process here in valuation but is applicable to the material in Financial Reporting & Analysis. On the exam, you may be asked to do some fairly basic adjustments (maybe normalizing EPS) but will probably not have to do major adjustments.

The calculations for the formulas in equity valuation are fairly simple once you understand the concepts, so we haven’t spent much time looking at the formulas themselves. The study guide and summary sheets do a better job of breaking the formulas down than I could anyway. Understand and be able to calculate each one, including arriving at the discount rate through CAPM and Bond-yield plus methods.

Flash cards lend themselves well to learning the separate formulas. Write out a word problem (not just a list of numerical data) on one side and then the solution (with calculations on the other. Some cards, like the single-stage DDM, you will probably get pretty quickly and be able to pass over after a couple of reviews. Other cards, like the H-Model, will take longer. **Do not neglect the more detailed and difficult formulas! Spend a little extra time and get this stuff down because you still might see it at the Level III exam as well.

‘til next time, happy studyin’
Joseph Hogue, CFA

A Schedule for the Last Month before the CFA Exams

There are so many variables to figure out a schedule, I hesitate to post this but I’m getting a lot of emails asking about what might work so I’ll try to get the basic idea down. If you have been studying for a few months and are fairly confident of your preparation, you may not need to change anything this last month. Just remember to work those practice exams, preferably at least one per week, to see in which topic areas you need more studying.

Coming down to the wire, it’s easy to let fear get the upper hand and sabotage your chances. We looked at how fear and our own anxiety can sabotage candidates in a previous post. Many candidates get nervous and think they need to change up their schedule this last month and end up getting burned out. If you’ve been studying responsibly, don’t freak out, just stay on the path.

If you haven’t spent as much time studying as you should, you may need to pick it up a bit over the next four weeks. If there is any way you can take time off work, you may want to do so over the last week before the exam. I posted a ‘last week’ schedule about a month ago that describes what I did before each exam.

More than time spent studying, the important measure for exam preparation is practice tests and the number of times you have been through the material. Few people can commit material to long-term memory with just one or two reviews. I always tried to get through the curriculum a minimum of four or five times before the CFA exams. This doesn’t necessarily mean reading the official CFA Institute books or even provider study guides more than a couple of times. Try reading the material at least twice but other ‘reviews’ can be accomplished through videos, flash card construction and practice, and summary sheets.

That said, below I will map out the schedule for my last month of studying for the three years I took the CFA exams. Since I usually started well over six months before the exam, I am going to tweak the schedule a little for someone that may have started later, maybe around February. This would mean an average of around 160 hours studying (assuming 12.5 hours per week for 13 weeks) and enough time to reach that 250 hours of total studying (an amount I consider an absolute minimum of preparation). The schedule below is for about 20-35 hours during the first three weeks and a little over 40 hours during the last week. This would get you a little closer to 300 hours of study time, which is the average reported by candidates. Depending on how quickly you can read or work practice problems, you may need more or less time studying to get through the material a few times.

Week 1-3:

I would try for a minimum of 20 hours each of these three weeks. Each Saturday, I would start the morning with a full practice exam with topic area weighting consistent with the exams. These are going to show you in which areas you need to study. We’ve covered the ‘core’ material for the exams in prior posts. You need to be scoring a minimum of 80% in these to be confident going into the exam. If you are not doing well in areas like Ethics, Financial Reporting & Analysis, and Equities (as well as a few others specific to each level), I would concentrate my time here. Level III candidates absolutely must study and practice the old essay questions, of which we have worked eight on this blog.

Sunday was usually spent reviewing the videos for two or three topic areas, which usually meant around 5 hours. Though videos are a form of passive learning, and not as effective as practice problems, they are a good way to get the material from a different perspective.

Monday through Thursday usually meant studying summary sheets through lunch each day. After work, I would spend another three hours reading the study guides and doing end of chapter problems from the official curriculum. You need to make sure you have worked through all end of chapter and ‘blue-box’ problems in the books. These problems are the most closely related to those you’ll see on the exams. With 18 study sessions, I usually try covering at least three per week (choosing those ‘core’ areas and those in which I scored lower on the practice exams, hopefully having been scoring high enough on at least 6 study sessions that I could put them aside).

Week 4:

This week, I would always take off from work and study approximately 40-50 hours for the week. Each day would start off with a three-hour practice exam. After that I would spend another three hours reviewing study guides and doing practice problems for the respective study session. The last two hours or so was usually spent reviewing flash cards or making new cards if I found a particular area or formula in which I needed help.

Each year, about 50% of candidates do not pass their respective exam and this year will be no different. If you have not prepared sufficiently, you can still avoid showing up in one of those fail bands, but you will need to concentrate and make some sacrifices. An excess of 100 hours spent studying over the last month may seem like a lot, but spending that time now will save you from having to do it next year.

Wednesday, we’ll look at some of the dividend discount models for the level II CFA exam and question #5 from last year’s level III morning section of the exam.

‘til then, happy studyin’
Joseph Hogue, CFA

A Little 11th Hour Motivation

It’s easy to get burnt out as you enter the final weeks of studying before the CFA exams. Most likely, you’ve already got a few hundred hours of studying under your belt and those voices inside your head are questioning if it will even be worth it.

Sometimes it helps to step back, take a breath and look at the big picture. Ask yourself, why are you taking the exams. Why are you going after a charter where only about 19% of candidates are able to complete? Each of us may have a slightly different motivation for seeking the designation. Many want to earn more money or just be able to get a job. Others want to be able to be better analysts or perform better in their career. For others, it is just a natural progression in continual education.

Then, there are some with entirely too much time on their hands and nothing else to do. To each his own.

Like most, I started studying for the CFA for a combination of the reasons above. I had fairly good experience in corporate finance but less in asset management, which was where I wanted to work. Besides this, I’ve always felt strongly about continuing education and believe that if you are not running faster than the next guy then you’ll be the first one eaten when the lion comes!

Since I passed the exams and earned the charter, I have been amazed at the number of projects I’ve picked up in my consulting business. The reception of the CFA designation by my clients has been extremely positive, especially by those that have tried the exams.

Glenn Buggy of CTPartners called the designation a, “badge of honor,” in a recent article on eFinancial Careers and said that, “To be able to play in the game now, you have to have the most modern financial tool kit that you can.” A recent survey taken by the website found just over 43% of job postings for portfolio manager cited a requirement or preference for the CFA charter or candidacy. Earning your charter alone is not going to get you a six-figure job, but it will certainly get your foot in the door for an interview at many places. The most recent Institute Membership Compensation Survey I could find was from 2007, but both base and bonus compensation compares favorably to even today’s salaries for non-charterholders.

While research is not inconclusive, there is evidence that charterholders perform better in their line of work as well. Research by Fortin and Michelson in 2006 found that, on average, analysts who hold the CFA charter provide 3.78% ‘tighter’ forecast accuracy than non-charterholders.  Research by Franco and Zhou in 2009 found that charterholders score higher on a dimension of timeliness and that performance is higher and statistically significant.

Your charter will put you in good company as well. Professionals like Abby Joseph Cohen, Sir John Marks Templeton, Bill Gross and (of course) Ben Graham all found value in the charter and its principals. While these great investors were not great just because they held the designation, or proposed it in the case of Graham, their determination and work in earning the charter helped them achieve their status.

What is your motivation for the long hours and hard work? Use the comment section below to tell your story. Your motivation may help someone else keeping going.

Just four more weeks. Hang in there! ‘til next time, happy studyin’
Joseph Hogue, CFA

CFA Level III Essay Practice: Question #4 2011 Exam

Last year’s economics question for the essay portion of the level III CFA exam covered all new material. The material for this year’s test (2012) has not changed much, the requirement to evaluate the sensitivity of equity market value estimates to changes in assumptions has been dropped but you now need to be able to critique the use of the DDM and macroeconomic forecasts to estimate the intrinsic value of the market. The rest of the changes between last year’s and this year’s exams are minor wording changes.

Please download the essay portion of the exam, along with the guideline answers from the CFA Institute website to follow along with the post. We won’t be going over the actual answers here, but how to arrive at them and the important ideas you need to remember from the material.

A lot of the economics material revolves around a few concepts. Understand the Cobb-Douglas production function and how it’s used in equity market valuation. Be able to compare and contrast some of the economic characteristics between emerging and developed markets. Understand and be able to calculate both the Fed and Yardeni models.

Last year’s question #4 was worth a total of 23 points, or about 6.4% of the total exam points. While the topic area isn’t necessarily a make or break part of the exam, getting the concepts down is fairly easy and shouldn’t take much time.

Part A. The Cobb-Douglas is fairly simple and used to estimate a projected annual real GDP growth rate. It describes the relationship between the growth in labor, growth in capital, productivity and the general rate of growth in the economy.

GDP growth = (growth in Total Factor Productivity)+((Output Elasticity of Capital)(Growth in Capital)) +((1- Output Elasticity of Capital)(Growth in Labor Inputs))

Remember that the Output Elasticity of Capital and the Output Elasticity of Labor will equal 1 so if you are only given one of the data points then you must find the other. In contrast to the above formula, you might be given the Output Elasticity of Labor.

* Rather than spending too much time on how the mathematical formula is derived, understand how events and regulations affect the TFP and growth in capital or labor. These may include:

  • Major changes in political or regulatory structures
  • Liberalization in trade or investment
  • Increase or decrease in tax burden on business
  • Depletion or degradation of natural resources
  • Regulations that materially affect immigration or retirement

Part B. When asked how events or regulations affect GDP growth, don’t overthink it. The most direct effect is usually the correct answer, despite any secondary effects that might occur. Question #4b(1) is a good example of this. The guideline answer is that the increase in total fixed costs due to new regulations will lower the country’s GDP trend. I can guarantee though that some candidates missed the question by saying no change and citing the ‘long-term’ effects of improved productivity through updated machinery (as referred to in second half of answer provided).

Part C. I avoided the H-model almost entirely through my studying for the level III exam. It looked too complicated and I was hoping that chances were slim that I would see it on the exam. Fortunately, a week before the test I put it on a flash card and committed to learning it. As with most of the complex formulas, try to think through it intuitively and you should be able to pick enough up to make an educated guess on the exam.

Basically, the H-model is taking a basic DDM (initial dividend rate divided by discount rate minus long-term growth) but multiplies in a bonus because of supernormal growth (the difference in rates times half the years plus the long-term growth rate). The second part of the equation is a mathematical attempt at estimating a linear (straight line) decline in growth.

If you’re looking for more practice on the Cobb-Doublas or the H-model and its use in market valuation, you may want to check out the mock exams put out by FinQuiz. (Be ready though, its a tough one!)

Part D. The Fed model describes a relationship between the earnings yield on equities (forward operating earnings divided by price) and the yield on the 10-year treasury note. Though flawed, which will be addressed in the Yardeni model, the research behind the Fed model is really interesting right now given a earnings yield around 7% for equities and a 10-yr note at only 2%!

* What you need to remember about the model is what it says about market valuations, given the comparative yields, and that it is flawed because it ignores the equity risk premium, inflation and earnings growth.

The Yardeni model, actually named for the same guy as the Fed model, tries to fix some of the flaws in the prior model. It uses the Moody’s A-rated bond to account for risk in equities (though this is default risk, not equity risk) and the consensus five-year earnings growth forecast for the S&P500. As with the Fed model, be able to state what the model says about the current market valuation and compare it to other valuation models listed in the economics section.

Again, the economics material is not usually given a large weighting on the exam but most of the stuff is fairly conceptual or easily calculable. It is not a topic area in which you will need to focus, like individual asset management, but you should go over it a few times to pick up those easy points.

‘til next time, happy studyin’
Joseph Hogue, CFA